MARKET DATA & RESEARCH · Published August 2026 · Data as of May 2026

Where UK house prices have actually moved since 2020

The national headlines mostly talk about "unaffordable London." The five-year picture, area by area, is more mixed than that — and worth knowing before you assume where the value is.

Using the same ONS/HM Land Registry data that powers Homabu's price map, we looked at how average prices have moved over the last five years across all 360 UK local authorities. Two patterns stand out, and both are directly relevant if you're weighing up where to buy.

The fastest-growing areas aren't where you'd expect

Over the last five years, the sharpest percentage gains have mostly landed in areas that started off relatively affordable — not the traditionally expensive ones.

Area5-year changeCurrent average price
Orkney Islands+53.0%£242,065
Oldham+48.7%£213,742
Derry City and Strabane+47.6%£182,910
Mid Ulster+43.2%£187,740
Bolsover+43.0%£177,772

For context, the average five-year change across all 360 areas is around +21%. Every area above is running roughly double that, or more — and none of them are anywhere near the top of the price table. If you've been focused on the most talked-about cities, it's worth widening the search.

A small number of expensive boroughs have actually gotten cheaper

This is the part that surprises people: a handful of the most expensive parts of the country have seen average prices fall over the same five years — not just slow down, but go down in cash terms.

Area5-year changeCurrent average price
City of London−25.4%£607,399
Kensington and Chelsea−14.5%£1,194,726
Tower Hamlets−10.2%£470,209
Westminster−7.5%£889,935
Camden−4.0%£792,454

In total, 11 of the 360 areas we track saw average prices fall over five years — nearly all of them prime central London boroughs, plus Aberdeen, which has its own separate story tied to the oil and gas sector. We can't say for certain why from price data alone; higher interest rates, fewer international buyers, and a broader shift away from prime central London have all plausibly played a part. What the data does show clearly is that "prices only go up" isn't true everywhere, even in the country's most expensive postcodes.

The affordability gap, in one number The cheapest area we track (Inverclyde, at £112,671 average) and the most expensive (Kensington and Chelsea, at £1,194,726) are now over 10 times apart. That's the widest the gap gets — but it also means the areas seeing the fastest growth right now are still, in most cases, starting from a much lower base than the areas losing value.

What this actually means if you're buying

If you want to see how a specific area's prices have moved in more detail — including whether the long-term trend is reliable enough to read much into — the full price map covers all 360 areas with the same data used here.

See what this means for your own numbers

None of this replaces checking what you can actually afford, in the area you're actually looking at.

Try the calculator →